benndragon (
brynndragon) wrote2009-06-29 12:47 am
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Wherein I give props to xkcd
Thank you xkcd for talking about an idea which I was willing to suspend disbelief for in order to have a laugh but have heard people actually spout as if it reflected reality. You see, in order to believe that premise you have to sincerely believe that smart people never ever do stupid things when it comes to sex. If you have such a belief, you clearly don't know any smart people (at least, you don't know them well enough ;P).
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1. Smart people have always been on a short end of the bell curve, we've always been a minority. It's the folks in the middle, neither smart nor stupid, who make up the majority and will keep doing so into the future.
2. Intelligence doesn't govern things like access to birth control and/or education. Especially when you look beyond our borders.
3. Rabbits aren't taking over the world for a reason (Austrailia notwithstanding). There's more to long-term survival than breeding and stupid people tend to self-correct for "accidental" breeding through accidental death.
4. It's really hard for us to see human evolution because a human lifetime is *our* lifetime. This leads to errors of extrapolation - we make up a pattern because we can't observe them very well. Hell, our current theory of IQ is what, one generation old, maybe two? We haven't been measuring intelligence long enough to make predictions about human evolution based on it.
5. Compared to the upheavals and changes in human existance over the millenia, birth control and sex education are drops in the bucket. They seem huge to us because they're happening to us but compared to a real bottleneck even the Black Plague didn't make much of a difference in something as basic as intelligence ratios.
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The single most famous and well-established unexplained phenomenon in the field of IQ testing is the Flynn Effect: that the bell-curve has been shifting upward by about 3 points per decade, continuously, linearly over time, since IQ testing began, everywhere.
For the record, that amounts to a standard deviation in 50 years. The definitions of the lower edge of "gifted" and the upper edge of "mentally retarded" are 2 standard deviations.
So this entire discussion has been utterly bizarre to me. The single most famous trend in IQ is that it's going up. Why would anyone base even a bogus argument on the idea it's going down??
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Re: From the article you pointed out...
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